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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: WEBspired ✭  😊 😞
Number: of 22353 
Subject: Re: 20 Year Review of Berkshire
Date: 12/20/22 7:16 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 4
'1. The future rate of growth in per share book value?
2. The damage done by inflation, if any?
3. How much of a share of profits will the Government decide to take?'

EVBMM,
Good questions and of course I do not know the answer! 70% of my investible assets are in Berkshire. I anticipate BRK's ROE 10% over the next decade. I just love the conservative nature of Berkshire and it's productive assets and structure built to last- insurance, $150B in equity like float, BNSF and huge growth in BHE, MSR, $110B cash, and enormous flexibility in allocation including very rational buybacks. Just seems it has been built so thoughtfully for many decades by WEB and CTM.

After reading Jim's posts and watching WEB's annual distributions to philanthropy, I plan on trimming (in my draw down phase) some shares when prices are sensible and hope the recurrent earnings growth and price appreciation will compensate for those occasional sale of shares.

I believe WEB has given away nearly $50B in BRK shares since 2006 when I believe his net worth was around $45B. His current net worth is around $105B despite giving away nearly half of his shares to philanthropy. This approach seems reasonable imo especially if one trims are at an higher Price/Peak BV.

My amateur guesstimate is US inflation may decline to 4% or so over the next 6 months and ultimately 2.5-3% in 12-24 months but who knows. My bet is US corporate taxes will rise when the 2017 cuts expire in 2025, but I hope I am wrong. Regardless of inflation or corporate taxes, I think BRK will do pretty well.

Thanks and eager to read Shrewdom commentary. Thanks and Happy Holidays to All!
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This community has written 21,861 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 58 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 55 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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