Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of BRK.ABest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of BRK.ABest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (12) |
Author: Aussi ✧  😊 😞
Number: of 22353 
Subject: Re: More OXY
Date: 10/26/23 11:48 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 1
An alternative view of energy demand from the IEA. On page 26 they are showing their projection of oil and gas demand peaking before 2030. By 2050, demand decreasing about 5% for both oil and gas. Yes demand continues but will be dropping. My investment thesis is that supply will drop quicker than demand drops which will push pricing higher. I am quite long on XOM.

iea.blob.core.windows.net: PDF document

The projection is based on current policies, not what is required to meet net zero by 2050. From the report in Section 1-1.

In the WEO-2023, the Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS) sees lower demand projections for
each of the fossil fuels than in the WEO-2022. This reflects current policy settings by
governments worldwide, a slight downward revision in the economic outlook, and the
continued ramifications of the 2022 global energy crisis. It also reflects longer term trends:
fossil fuel technologies have been losing market share to clean energy technologies across
various sectors in recent years, and in many cases fossil fuel-powered technologies have
already seen a peak in sales or additions.
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to Aussi here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 21,861 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 58 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 55 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (12) |


Announcements
Berkshire Hathaway FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of BRK.A | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community