Albaby, this explains why money is betting on Trump and djt

It explains one theory of how Trump could win, sure. The GOP has had much better performance in early voting this cycle than 2020.

But we don't know what that will mean, in terms of voting. Historically, people who vote early are people that would have voted anyway. In most jurisdictions, it takes some preparation and planning to vote early, either in-person or absentee. Offering non-election day voting options has generally shifted when people who would have voted end up voting, with minimal impact on who votes.

So the fact that the GOP is doing better this time, with Trump not trashing early and absentee voting, is certainly a positive thing for them - votes in the box are better than votes that are contingent on election day convenience. But we don't know if that reflects a real change in eventual ballots, or just Republicans mirroring Democrats in moving more of their votes from E-day to early.

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