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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
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Author: LurkerMom   😊 😞
Number: of 86281 
Subject: Re: We're Never Voting' For Him Again
Date: 03/31/24 9:25 PM
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You prove yourself clueless and wrong over and over again. But that is what it takes to maintain the 'faith' in Trump. You HAVE to believe lies. You have to be willing to be a fool for a man who despises you.

As I said, the crime rate dropped during Biden’s fail presidency because of the covid pandemic.
Crime is on the increase in sanctuary cities.

SNIP
“COVID-19 caused a reduction in many types of crime around the world.[4] A report by USA Today on 4 April 2020 showed a decrease in criminal incidents (in America) since 15 March in nineteen out of twenty police agencies examined.[5] However, the report also noted an increase in domestic violence.[5] Some police departments are intentionally arresting fewer people to prevent potential spread of coronavirus in jails; tackling the issues in alternative ways rather than making "physical arrests".[5] Associated Press reported that in Chicago drug arrests fell 42% since the lockdowns, compared with the same period in 2019.[6] Overall, crime in Chicago declined 10% following the outbreak of the pandemic.[4] This decrease is being seen across cities globally as restrictions were increased to contain the virus.[4]
A detailed examination for one UK police force found variation in the onset of change by crime type when compared to 5-year averages.[7] Some types of crime declined immediately from ‘global pandemic’ announcement from the World Health Organisation on 11 March 2020, others later.[7] Incidence of assault was inelastic but responsive to reduced workplace mobility.
Following an increase in movement restrictions across nations, there are fewer people on the streets, causing a decrease in street crime.[8] And with a larger population staying indoors at home, thefts and residential burglaries have decreased.[9][10]”
More
en.wikipedia.org - Impact of the COVID pandemic on crime

SNIP
“Across the country, we've seen massive change brought on by the coronavirus pandemic, including a dramatic drop in the overall crime rate.

David Abrams, a University of Pennsylvania law and economics professor, has been keeping an eye on numbers across the country. The website he created details what's been happening with crime in more than 25 major cities during the COVID-19 crisis.

"People have reacted to the pandemic in all sorts of ways in decreasing economic activity," Abrams says. "They stopped going to work, they stopped driving their car. They stopped walking around the city, and crime also stopped."

Baltimore, Philadelphia, San Francisco, Washington, D.C., and Chicago all have witnessed a drop of more than 30%. Violent crimes such as aggravated assaults and robberies also fell substantially.“

npr.org - Crime has declined overall during the pandemic but shootings and killings

SNIP
Changes in Crime Rates during the COVID-19

“We estimate changes in the rates of five FBI Part 1 crimes during the 2020 spring COVID-19 pandemic lockdown period and the period after the killing of George Floyd through December 2020. We use weekly crime rate data from 28 of the 70 largest cities in the United States from January 2018 to December 2020. Homicide rates were higher throughout 2020, including during early 2020 prior to March lockdowns. Auto thefts increased significantly during the summer and remainder of 2020. In contrast, robbery and larceny significantly declined during all three post-pandemic periods. Point estimates of burglary rates pointed to a decline for all four periods of 2020, but only the pre-pandemic period was statistically significant. We construct a city-level openness index to examine whether the degree of openness just prior to and during the lockdowns was associated with changing crime rates. Larceny and robbery rates both had a positive and significant association with the openness index implying lockdown restrictions reduced offense rates“

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/23304...

SNIP
“Has COVID-19 Changed Crime? Crime Rates in the United States during the Pandemic
“In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, state-level governments across the United States issued mandatory stay-at-home orders around the end of March 2020. Though intended to stop the spread of the COVID-19 virus, the lockdowns have had sweeping impacts on life in ways which were not originally planned. This study's purpose is to investigate the extent to which governmental responses to COVID-19 have impacted crime rates in the U.S. Compared to the pre-pandemic year of 2019, crime - as measured by calls for service to law enforcement - has decreased markedly. However, there are multiple indications that the crime drop is being driven by decreases in minor offenses which are typically committed in peer groups. At the same time, serious crimes which are generally not committed with co-offenders (namely homicide and intimate partner violence) have either remained constant or increased. As such, the crime drop appears to be hiding a very disturbing trend where homicides remain unchanged and intimate partner batteries are increasing. Since many offenders would presumably be committing less serious crimes in a non-pandemic world, we raise attention to the possibility that mandatory lockdown orders may have taken minor offenders and placed them into situations where there is rampant opportunity for intimate partner violence, serious batteries, and homicides. While crime in the U.S. appears to be down overall, this good news should not blind us to a troubling co-occurring reality - a reality that paints a dim picture of unintended consequences to public health and criminal justice finances as a result of COVID-19 lockdowns.“

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32837168/

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This community has written 86,214 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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