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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: RAMc ✭  😊 😞
Number: of 6243 
Subject: Re: Pod shops, factor investing, forward EPS revisions
Date: 11/22/24 12:19 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 6
One of the RevUp screens on GTR1 is Up5X3:
gtr1.net: GTR1 Backtester - Up5X3
From 1997 till present CAGR is 18.8% with a SAWR of 10.3%, sounds nice but screens like this are very
Volitle.
Year	          Avg
20151231 -5.1
20161230 38.0
20171229 15.6
20181231 -7.2
20191231 9.9
20201231 1.9
20211231 52.5
20221230 -10.6
20231229 25.8
20241119 1.4
A similar Screen I used briefly several years ago over on P123 has similar results from 2002
CAGR 19.3%
Annual Turnover 483%
Year	EstRev	SPEW	Excess
2015 9.17 -2.67 11.84
2016 15.54 14.51 1.04
2017 58.58 18.52 40.06
2018 -30.13 -7.84 -22.29
2019 42.25 28.91 13.35
2020 14.86 12.66 2.2
2021 36.32 29.41 6.91
2022 -26.44 -11.62 -14.82
2023 6.45 13.7 -7.25
2024** 33.57 16.06 17.52
A rough ride in 2018 and 2022.

A recent post being discussed on another form with some interesting observations about Earning Revisions and short term overreaction compared to long term fundamentals.
What's Driving Stocks - Praetorian Capital
pracap.com - Whats driving stocks
A Quote from the article:
“Over the past two decades, quant shops have attracted a tremendous amount of assets — especially the pod shops that use many of these factors as the basis of their trading. There can be no denying that today there are way less fundamental-type managers. Heck, some traditional long-only funds even have quant screening applied to their list of securities they are able to purchase. These factors are increasingly driving portfolio construction.”
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Members reply directly to RAMc here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 6,227 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Dividend investing · 52 recs · 2025
Non-Mag7 screen · 34 recs · 2025
OT - Div yields and returns · 32 recs · 2024
Using AI to generate backtesting programs · 30 recs · 2025
Rankings for 19Dec2022 · 29 recs · 2022
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