Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of BRK.ABest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of BRK.ABest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (4) |
Author: Texirish ✹  😊 😞
Number: of 22353 
Subject: Re: Did Buffett buy the wrong oil major?
Date: 04/28/24 5:23 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 4
Perhaps a more specific response to rnam.

At the time Buffett bought much of his Chevron, it had a higher dividend, higher buybacks, and a stronger balance sheet compared to ExxonMobil. This was when the O&G industry was in turmoil from the price wars and the pandemic. Chevron is a strong, well managed, company. Who can fault the safer choice at the time?

And OXY remains an almost pure play on the Permian. While dividends and buybacks are still largely in the future, the long run in the Permian seems very solid. He knows the company, likes the CEO, likes her plans, and sees limited downside. Why not continue to invest at basically the same prices where you established your initial positions?

Perhaps the question is why didn't Buffett & team keep up with the progress XOM was making? And make use of its large and liquid cap to deploy billions of the huge cash hoard in addition?

I've sure wondered that myself.

My speculation is that Buffett doesn't want a larger position in the stock market in general at current price levels. And the higher interest rates on cash help reduce the potential opportunity cost of such. And, maybe in particular, he doesn't want a higher position in the cyclic O&G industry. Maybe the thinking is that O&G will also drop in price rapidly with the market prices if a major economic downturn happens. And the money tied up in buying XOM won't be available at the exact time he wants it to buy market bargains.

Has this cost him some potential profits? Yes. The XOM performance and plans have been well laid out in public. I hope he or his team are following them. But maybe possible future opportunities outweighs near term profits in his judgment.

I'd love to see him answer a question on the subject. But I know he won't, so why bother?

Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to Texirish here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 21,861 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 58 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 55 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (4) |


Announcements
Berkshire Hathaway FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of BRK.A | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community