Post #3247 by onepoorguy on the US Policy board

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I very much doubt Trump could win. In fact, my expectation is that Trump running against Biden would motivate people to vote Biden again (i.e. against Trump). If the Reps get a different candidate (e.g. DeSantis), that would be a whole different story. Biden isn't electrifying anyone, and I'm not sure he would "get out the vote" for himself the way Trump would "get out the vote" against himself.

From what I see on fivethirtyeight, Biden's disapproval is pretty high, but when matched against Trump he's a full six points ahead.

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