Post #109 by Sandywater on the Mechanical Investing board

Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing

Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (3)

Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!

No. of Recommendations: 4

Craig

I remember the article. But I think the consensus from either that article or from other research was that in order to predict a recession, we should look at either industrial production or retail sales. In our current environment, neither would have told us to hedge. Except retail sales did dip below zero for a short time in March 2022 and a tiny bit in November 2022. Doesn't look like much help to me.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=3atC

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=3asR

I could be wrong about this. Maybe someone else could clarify the situation.

Also, as Jim previously mentioned, the Nasdaq NH-NL EMA 13 was spot on, particularly for Saul Stocks. https://schrts.co/SZjxxRkh

Sandywater

Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!

Print the post

Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (3)

Prev | Next

Announcements

Mechanical Investing FAQ

Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

A community forum supporting civilized, and highly helpful, self-educating investors that come together for Shrewdness and merry spirits. These message boards closely follow the look and feel of the old message boards at boards.fool.com prior to the boards redirected to discussion.fool.com. Shrewd'm is not affiliated with the comprehensive and excellent investment website, The Motley Fool (TMF), in any way. The Shrewd commmunity here has owed, and continues to owe, gratitude to The Motley Fool for nurturing a culture of jovial irreverence towards Wall St, and that tradition will continue here.