Post #4051 by FlyingCircus on the Macroeconomic Trends & Risks board

Pause to imagine what posts would you want to read here from others. It will likely be kinder, or involve original research with data, or be detailed and thorough, or all of the above. In response, aim to write your own posts in such a way. This will systemically produce the most valuable boards.

- Manlobbi

Personal Finance / Macroeconomic Trends & Risks

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Curious: What was your prompt or prompt for that response?
What sources did Gemini use to generate that?

Obfuscating this dire scenario is the volatile, but overall flat trending, high yield credit spread:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BAMLH0A0HYM2#

The MOVE index, up from its low of 6 months ago but in the middle of the 1 year range
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=%24MOVE&a=219920...

the Junk (BB & below) credit spread, bouncing off its 2 year low:
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=%24MOVE&a=219920...

The charts don't say, the problems will never happen; they're just saying, "not yet..." although that second April mess was scary for a couple of weeks. They don't predict anything, much less 18-24 months out.

FC

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