Post #4882 by Mark19 on the Mechanical Investing board

Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing

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Timing in general

After looking at this stuff for a long long time I have come to a conclusion about timing.

* If you are looking at the long term, say 20+ years, you should NOT do timing at all. All that timing does for you is smooth out the downturns at the cost of LOWER long-term return.

* Only if you are looking at short-ish term, say 10-15 years or less, does timing have any significant benefit. That's because in the drop of a bear market your portfolio (that is, you) terminates before the market has had time to recover from the bear market.

Sorry.

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I have an opinion on it also. If you want the best returns buy and hold is the best. Especially if you buy more when the market collapses. If you want to reduce volatility, timing is great.

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