Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of FKBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of FKBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Investment Strategies / Falling Knives
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (3) |
Author: Knighted ✧  😊 😞
Number: of 1198 
Subject: COF
Date: 02/24/23 2:12 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 3
Has anyone taken a stab at valuation of COF (Capital One)? I've been impressed with multiple of their products from a customer perspective.

First, I've had accounts with many, many banks, mainly online accounts, and capital one has stood out as one of the smoothest, easy to use interfaces I've encountered. (Chase is the only one that seems to come close/tie)

Second, they came out with a product a few years ago called Capital One Shopping. It works as a browser extension that provides promo codes for online sites to save money similar to other products like honey, swagbucks, and befrugal. But it does this vastly more efficiently and easy from a customer perspective (and automatically). Their product is far superior to the others in many ways (honey is the closest competitor). They seem to also monitor activity of what the user is interested in then email them special deals on that product.

My assumption is that they are able to harvest significant affiliate commissions from that shopping product. What I don't know is: 1) how much revenue they're bringing in from this and if it's just a drop in the bucket compared to their other ventures, 2) and how much of the market share they currently have in this. But I can see them easily dominating this niche area.

Currently sitting at a P/E of 6 which seems on the low end of industry competitors. EPS has fallen -35% from peak over the last year. If it continued falling back to 2019 levels, the stock would be at a P/E of 9. If it fell even further to the EPS levels where it spent most of 2011-2017 period, it'd have a PE of 14 at current prices.

Any thoughts?
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to Knighted here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 1,188 posts about Falling Knives. The article-length ones it recommended most:
FKA: DG · 25 recs · 2023
MTD – A Masterclass in Un-Swiss Capital Allocation · 17 recs · 2026
Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) · 15 recs · 2026
ORCL, PSKY, oh my · 15 recs · 2026
Coloplast (CLPBY) · 12 recs · 2026
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (3) |


Announcements
Falling Knives FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of FK | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community