No. of Recommendations: 12
Said - first, I encourage you to check out the Timing Methods on the FAQ wiki I set up:
http://mechinvesting.wikidot.com/specifically -
http://mechinvesting.wikidot.com/timing-methodsSome details on my other signals I follow, mostly posited years ago starting when the BearCatchers got developed:
https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=174463102Putting it together -
https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=47200751Additional context:
https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=733981565You're right on DBE/99d being slow, but understand it was designed for defense - to reduce losses in long (and slower developing) bear markets, not increase CAGR.
https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=679465223And the benefit of these other signals beyond playing defense (allocation to equities) is limited at the macro level, as I mentioned in this post last fall:
With the exception of the extremes; the most pessimistic negative environments have recently been a great contrarian "buy" opportunity, and the most optimistic positive go environments have recently been a good equity exposure reduction / take some "off the table" opportunity.So understand what I'm pointing you toward are some pretty noisy tuning knobs, or blunt instruments - just for reference & your choice-making - and all to be used in concert, not individually.
FC