Post #3853 by Goofyhoofy on the Macroeconomic Trends and Risks board

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A good explanation of the so-called Greenspan put, sometimes called “Too Big To Fail”:

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https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/18/opinion/wall-st...

Why the Stock Market Makes No Sense Right Now
The stock market has been trying to ignore the war in Iran. That’s been true over weeks of escalation and de-escalation, cease-fires, a blockade, and a blockade of a blockade (now just a U.S. blockade). Markets have barely flinched, even as crude oil prices swing wildly each day and the world’s supply chains begin to shake. The word to describe what is happening is “shrug.” The problem is not a lack of information. There is too much information, arriving in late-night social media posts and endless push notifications. These days when I see “Breaking News,” it feels like there’s an emphasis on “breaking,” in the sense of “Things are broken.” The stock market has decided this available information is not relevant. That is a problem for all of us. President Trump deeply cares about the stock market, and if the stock market had been selling off, there is a good chance that this war would have been over a while ago. More broadly, the markets are showing the single lesson that the past 40 years have taught them. It will always be saved.
The last half of the piece delves into the future with AI, and I haven’t absorbed it yet (first blush: doesn’t make as much sense as the first half), but there it is.

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