No. of Recommendations: 44
I concluded a 35 year DoD arc which ranged from being a high school intern, to three deployments with a joint special operations task force, to working in two White Houses (Bush and Obama), to 14 years in strategic intelligence. Got to travel to 6 continents (most of the time we were actually invited...).
I don't see us overmatched. 20 years in OEF and OIF hardened and vetted the troops - tactically, China is nowhere near as trained and lethal. Huge swaths of the Chinese armed forces aren't really professionalized. Now, if we did a force-on-force, all out battle, it wouldn't be pretty, but that is really not a likely scenario. We may be overmatched in the cyber/offensive cyber operations line of operations, but certainly not in blue water navy or nuclear triad.
All that said, projecting power is expensive and hard. They're incapable of a traditional invasion of the lower 48, not in any sustainable way, and vice-versa. If they're thinking of making a grab at Taiwan, I expect that during this regime. Our issues now are entirely self-inflicted, appointing a hack who isn't even qualified to be a Company Commander as SECDEF, and being distracted by nonsense, and wasting time on Venezuela, and effectively doing Russia's bidding.