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Investment Strategies / Falling Knives
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Author: ajm101 🐝🐝🐝🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 577 
Subject: Re: FKA: DG
Date: 09/14/2024 11:33 AM
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This seems to be the central discussion forum for Dollar General.

For various reasons, I have been modeling the impact of a China invasion of Taiwan in my portfolio. I know that most non-grocery items in discount retail, even moreso than other sectors, are China imports. I know there are US macro reasons for the drop in price across a number of US discount chains, but I'm concerned this is another signal and I own shares of DG and I'm not sure what the short and long term impact would be.

I suspect, to the point where global logistics weren't impacted, that supply chain would shift to India, Vietnam, and other countries offering similar production capability. I don't think the need for these types of chains would go away, either. But I was curious for others thoughts. DG (and Intel, also involved in modeling this scenario) are both prominent Falling Knives.
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