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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: Said ✧  😊 😞
Number: of 6243 
Subject: Re: market timing via sentiment measures
Date: 10/14/25 12:46 AM
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An interesting while highly unusual development in one sentiment indicator: CNN´s Fear & Greed Index peaked in July at 75 (with practically all components at "Extreme Greed"), which was perfectly in line with a rising market.

But since then it went continually down, opposite to the further and further rising market. With 33 it´s now clearly in the "Fear" zone --- while the market was rising all the time since, and still is.

The for me only explanation for this completely contradictory developments of the last 2 months: FOMO. Everybody still holds on --- but feels more and more uncomfortable in doing so. Now even holding on while feeling not just "uncomfortable" but while being outright scared. Looks like an elastic band which is more and more pulled at on both ends --- until it snaps.




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This community has written 6,227 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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