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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: FlyingCircus ✧  😊 😞
Number: of 6243 
Subject: GTAA & DMFI update 8/31
Date: 09/01/23 12:02 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 14
Asset Class 	    Signal	Last	Since	# wks	Top6	Symbol	Price	MA	Slope	To MA	Rank
US LC IN IN 2/1/23 30 X SPY 450.35 420.96 Up 1.070 1
US LC Momentum IN IN 6/23/23 10 X MTUM 147.2 141.57 Down 1.04 2
US SC IN IN 6/2/23 13 IWM 188.61 183.86 Up 1.03 10
US SC Mom./Growth IN IN 6/2/23 13 IJT 116.64 112.59 Up 1.04 6
For. Developed IN IN 11/11/22 41 X EFA 71.53 70.58 Down 1.013 4
For. Dev. SmallCap CHG OUT 8/11/23 3 SCZ 59.18 59.69 Up 0.992 6
Emerging IN IN 3/31/23 22 EMXC 51.27 50.72 Up 1.011 8
Real Estate OUT OUT 8/4/23 4 VNQ 82.38 81.81 5 1.007 12
Foreign Real Estate CHG OUT 8/4/23 4 RWX 25.3 25.35 Down 0.998 12
Total Bond CHG OUT 8/4/23 4 BND 71.75 71.99 Down 1.00 9
10Y US Gov OUT OUT 8/4/23 4 IEF 94.8 96.23 Down 0.99 11
Global High Yield IN IN 1/6/23 34 X JNK 92.46 89.28 Down 1.04 3
Preferred CHG OUT 3/10/23 25 PGX 11.19 11.25 Up 0.99 14
Cash/ST X BIL 91.86 91.64 1.002 5
DMFI MODEL JNK 8/31/23

Brief interpretations: Only 4 asset classes have better or equivalent momentum* to Cash ("investable"): US Large Caps, US Momentum, Foreign Developed (~EFA), and Global High Yield. Although other asset classes are above their 8 month moving averages, they have weaker relative strength than cash as repped by BIL.

Using the Dual Momentum Fixed Income approach with Baltassar's improved 4 month lookback, the strongest fixed income allocation is Global High Yield (~JNK, ~SPHY lower fees).

*My calculation of momentum is an equally weighted average of 1,3,6 and 12 month price performance.

FC
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This community has written 6,227 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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