No. of Recommendations: 22
Jim wrote:
As with any timing signal it may or may not be reliable, but if it has any utility it would definitely be now.I used 63 market days (3 months) with a rise of 0.50 or more. The following table identifies the first date this happens and the last date for each year. I took the study back to 1962 when I have data on almost all of these treasuries.
zeelotes.org - Treasury Rising RapidlyThis method does a great job highlighting danger ahead prior to major bear markets like 1966, 1970, 1973-1974, 1980, 1981-1982, 1987, 2000-2002, 2007-2009 and even 2022.
The warning presently is insufficient to warrant a definite signal using this approach.
