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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Personal Finance / Macroeconomic Trends & Risks
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Author: UpNorthJoe ✭☼🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 4582 
Subject: Re: The envelope please
Date: 12/12/25 7:56 AM
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I'm like you, the check will be less, but it doesn't affect day to day life(yet).

From a bigger picture view, really having trouble envisioning how the earnings of
both small and large companies are going to grow in 2026. The American consumer is
getting hit from all sides. Less disposable income for purchases due to increased
healthcare premiums. Prices still rising due to an inept tariff policy. Consumer
spending makes up approximately 70% of GDP, that is a big number. Are there enough
of the wealthy in America to pick up the spending slack that almost has to be coming,
from the middle and lower class bloc of spenders ?

Wall St hates uncertainty, and we have uncertainty in spades.
Wall St loves growth, but the engine of growth ( the consumer ) is getting
throttled.

Oh well, I guess we can just keep on piling into AI tech companies, what can go
wrong ???
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This community has written 4,576 posts about Macroeconomic Trends & Risks. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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From the Oregon Bay Area (a blogger) · 33 recs · 2025
Lerner Symmetry Theorem · 32 recs · 2025
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