Post #28337 by weatherman on the US Policy board

If someone appears to be repeatedly personal, lean towards patience as they might not mean offense. If you are sure, however, then do not deepen the problem by being negative; instead, simply place them on ignore by clicking the unhappy yellow face to the right of their name.

- Manlobbi

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there are scientific problems as well.
one common cliche is that betting markets must be better than polls since real money is stake.
but i have not seen any strong study that describes the amount of participants and the distribution of financial stakes that allows this to be a superior predictor, ESPECIALLY when the margin of error is relatively large and the odds are near even.

on the other hand, it does reflect a certain vibe when the disparity is great, but does it contradict reasonably constructed polls? that's doubtful.
https://polymarket.com/event/north-carolina-govern...

always remember these are bookmakers, and exist to profit off adjusting money-weighted popularity.

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