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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: FlyingCircus ✧  😊 😞
Number: of 6244 
Subject: Re: Market Conditions at the turn of the year
Date: 03/01/23 10:50 PM
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Rounding out the short term ones I pay attention to:
PAA Count - this is a derivation of a foundational indicator developed by Zeelotes. In summary, it tracks declining breadth when at market highs across a few moving averages. The higher the count, the bigger the risk. This fired frequently as the cap-weighted indexes dominated by the megacap techs hit new highs, but more stocks were being sold off in rotation. Can't give out a formulation - it's sold by Zeelotes.

Recent Simple Top - Zeelotes, November 06. it's a rolling count indicator over the last 25 days. The Rules: (http://www.datahelper.com/mi/search.phtml?nofool=y...)

1. In the last 25 market days at least 17 must have been up days
2. Today's market must have been an up day.
3. The number of up days exceeding a 1% increase cannot exceed four. Since during a strong bull market this number will be much higher. The median on the Dow from 1896 is three.


Primary-Tech Divergence: Basically, when the Naz starts throwing bearish signs (PAMAs, MACDs, etc.) while the S&P is not, or is hitting new highs.

If interested in more, take a look through the Timing Methods FAQ archive - mechinvesting.wikidot.com - Timing methods
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This community has written 6,227 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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