*                         3/3      3/10     3/17     3/24/25
S&P 500 Index             5954.50  5770.20  5638.94  5667.56
Trailing 12 month PE      27.59    26.56    25.98    26.11
Trail Earnings yield      3.62%    3.77%    3.85%    3.83%
Forward 12 month PE       23.13    22.39    21.87    21.93
Fwd Earnings Yield        4.32%    4.47%    4.57%    4.56%
90 day tbill yield        4.32     4.34     4.33     4.33
10 year tbond yield       4.24%    4.32%    4.31%    4.25%
Arezi Ratio               1.19     1.15     1.12     1.13
Fed Ratio                 0.98     0.97     0.94     0.93

The Arezi Ratio is the 90 day tbill yield divided by the trailing
earnings yield of the S&P500. A low ratio means that stocks are undervalued.

The 'Fed Ratio' is the 10 year treasury bond yield divided by the
forward estimated operating earnings yield of the S&P500. A low ratio
means that stocks are undervalued. Thus, a ratio of 0.71 for example
means, according to Yardeni, that stocks are cheaper than 'fair value'
by 29%.

The 'S=120-50*Arezi Ratio' formula indicates an allocation of 63%
stocks, 37% cash this week.

Other timing indicators:
The S&P index is below its 200DMA. - Bearish
We are in the Nov-Apr part of the year. - Bullish
The trailing PE ratio of the S&P is above 17. - Bearish
The treasury yield curve is inverted. - Bearish

A composite allocation may start with the Arezi formula and subtract 10%
for each bearish indicator. The current target allocation is 33%.

An alternative allocation, using S=120-30*Arezi Ratio and the first
two of the other timing indicators, produces a target of 76%.

Elan

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