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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Falling Knives
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Author: mungofitch ✹✺🐝 SILVER
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Number: of 1198 
Subject: Re: GOOG
Date: 03/16/25 12:44 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 14
Just a small health warning...P/S has worked well for the firm in the past, but perhaps not as well in future.

It has been a more stable metric than earnings because their net margins have been somewhat variable, and the P/S multiples themselves have been lofty for a very long time for two pretty reasonable reasons: their net margins have been very high, and they have been growing very quickly.

With the capex program that they are looking at the net margins may be on a downtrend, so a move to valuing on a multiple of earnings (or smoothed earnings) may start to work better. This was always going to be the endpoint of their growth journey, so it's a matter of deciding if now is the time to make the switch.

Jim
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