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Author: wzambon 🐝 HONORARY
SHREWD
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Number: of 75968 
Subject: Trouble-Right Here in River City
Date: 11/21/25 1:12 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 7
High flying Nvidia (maker of AI chips), NVDA-

Announced better than expected earnings after market close on Wednesday.

Expectations for today were for NVDA to lead market higher.

It didn’t work out that way. After an early morning climb, NVDA fell, closing down 3%, leading markets lower.

This is characteristic behavior that often marks a market top, when investors start selling GOOD news.

Is this a market top? Nobody knows, though it looks more likely than it did yesterday.

Stay tuned.

Bill Z- reader of goat entrails

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Author: UpNorthJoe   😊 😞
Number: of 75968 
Subject: Re: Trouble-Right Here in River City
Date: 11/21/25 8:20 AM
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"Is this a market top? Nobody knows, though it looks more likely than it did yesterday."

NVDA had stellar earnings. So them going down the day after is not a good look.
The Fear and Greed Index is in the Extreme Fear territory.
https://www.cnn.com/markets/fear-and-greed

I've been lightening up, at slightly over 50/50 stocks and fixed income.
I don't like that, I know that inflation is eating away at fixed income and
cash flows. But Trump has been shooting the Country in the foot ever since he
stepped in Office. Supposedly the Market hates uncertainty, and there is no more
of an uncertainty than Trump. The Market big money people luv that Trump wants
to gut regulation and oversight, so there is a chance that the Big Money folks stay
invested. But there are some major headwinds coming up for the average American consumer, and consumer spending upon last check makes up 70% of American GDP.
The wealthy and well off are doing fine, but the average American is staring down
huge insurance cost increases, increased prices for most everything they buy, and
lower job security.

After writing that, being 50% stock seems nuts, lol.
If there is a reckoning in the AI sector, QQQ and SPY are gonna get hammered.

Interesting times, to say the least.
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Author: marco100   😊 😞
Number: of 75968 
Subject: Re: Trouble-Right Here in River City
Date: 11/21/25 9:03 AM
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On November 19, 2025, the Atlanta Fed revised its estimate for 3rd quarter 2025 GDP growth to 4.2% (annualized) from 4.1%.

Stop making investment decisions based on emotion, your politics, and what you read on the internet and see on television.
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Author: wzambon 🐝 HONORARY
SHREWD
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Number: of 75968 
Subject: Re: Trouble-Right Here in River City
Date: 11/21/25 10:10 AM
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Stop making investment decisions based on emotion, your politics, and what you read on the internet and see on television.

Instead, make investment decisions based upon the fed that is now flying increasingly blind because much of the data it is reading is now shoveled to it by a government that has cut funding to those who actually collected the data.

Six months ago I said “Don’t believe anything said by this government”.

Now, in addition, the message is: “Don’t believe anything that comes from anyone who relies on government data for their projections.”


This administration is where facts go to die.

You’re better off reading goat entrails than listening to anyone who gets their facts from the Trump administration.


The fed, increasingly, is flying blind. I think I saw it yesterday, tapping a white cane on the crosswalk, wearing sunglasses and holding a tin cup, and singing “I Can See Clearly Now”.
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Author: marco100   😊 😞
Number: of 75968 
Subject: Re: Trouble-Right Here in River City
Date: 11/21/25 11:52 AM
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Wtromboni,

The data about 3rd q. GDP growth was from the Atlanta Fed. That's obviously an extremely reliable (albeit certainly not infallible) source for economic data.

Your paranoid schizophrenia is only slightly less apparent than Steve-o's.

My investing advice did not originate from me, obviously, but it is timeless.

Anything a retail investor reads on the internet or sees on T.V. is already public information fully incorporated into stock prices by the time a retail investor becomes aware of it.

Thus a retail investor derives absolutely no competitive advantage from taking action based upon it.

The markets are certainly not perfectly efficient, but they are more efficient than to allow ProGlib bozos any competitive advantage in their investing decisions simply by reading the NY Times, Forbes, Barron's, CNN, or whatever your "sources" might be.
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Author: wzambon 🐝 HONORARY
SHREWD
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Number: of 75968 
Subject: Re: Trouble-Right Here in River City
Date: 11/21/25 12:41 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 4
The data about 3rd q. GDP growth was from the Atlanta Fed. That's obviously an extremely reliable (albeit certainly not infallible) source for economic data.

A source is only as reliable as its data. The fed has a dual mandate that involves watching both employment and inflation.

A significant input to their analyses comes from data collected by the government.

Garbage in. Garbage out
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Author: marco100   😊 😞
Number: of 75968 
Subject: Re: Trouble-Right Here in River City
Date: 11/21/25 3:27 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 2
Wzambon says:

"Garbage in, garbage out."

Oh, the irony.
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