Avoid making negative or unhelpful posts, and instead focus on providing constructive feedback and ideas that can help to move the discussion forward.
- Manlobbi
Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
No. of Recommendations: 18
INDPRO ind Mon Mar 16 05:11:40 PM CDT 2026 YOY: 1.44%
RRSFS rrs Fri Mar 6 05:11:28 PM CST 2026 YOY: 0.75%
Both FRED indicators are up YOY, thus disconfirming recession, so a SMA sell signal should be ignored.
No. of Recommendations: 10
INDPRO ind Mon Mar 16 05:11:40 PM CDT 2026 YOY: 1.44%
RRSFS rrs Fri Mar 6 05:11:28 PM CST 2026 YOY: 0.75%
Both FRED indicators are up YOY, thus disconfirming recession, so a SMA sell signal should be ignored.
I’d say you’re looking in the rear view mirror while driving off a cliff at 100mph.
No. of Recommendations: 2
Both FRED indicators are up YOY, thus disconfirming recession, so a SMA sell signal should be ignored.
I’d say you’re looking in the rear view mirror while driving off a cliff at 100mph.
I'd say that going safe to at least a skeleton of full allocation was timely.
GD_
No. of Recommendations: 8
Is this the Mechanical Investing board or the Emotional Investing board?
Do we give any credence to rule-based mechanical backtests or not?
No. of Recommendations: 6
Mechanical or Emotional?
Working on trying to be mechanical!
But your citing Philosophical Economics GTT which is only one of many strategies.
I just looked over the recommendations of Allocate Smartly’s backtested strategies that have the best safe withdrawal rates. None of them suggest you should be risk on more than 25% US equities.
No. of Recommendations: 2
Is this the Mechanical Investing board or the Emotional Investing board?
Do we give any credence to rule-based mechanical backtests or not?
I do but we are at war with a well known sponser of terrorism and must take that risk into account.
GD_
No. of Recommendations: 5
Is this the Mechanical Investing board or the Emotional Investing board?
Do we give any credence to rule-based mechanical backtests or not?
You do you. There are many other economic indicators that are flashing bright red. The ones you quoted are positive, YOY, by a whisker. Wait a month, if you wish, and they’ll change. And besides, I don’t think the 200 day sma has triggered yet.
