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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: Blackswanny   😊 😞
Number: of 19827 
Subject: Oxy
Date: 11/24/25 6:33 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 1
Just playing around with numbers atm as it's been a dog so far. Entered on the basis of projected cashflows and "superinvestor" activity.

I think when I purchased it I was looking at steady rate cashflows pushing upto 7-8bn in 2027 - 28, and at the time it seemed good value based on this. However, analyst estimates seem to be more in the 4-5bn range. Therefore we could be looking at trading sideways for 3 years which is not good and would probably be worth exiting at an attractive point IMO to reinvest elsewhere.

Thoughts?
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝 SILVER
SHREWD
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Number: of 19827 
Subject: Re: Oxy
Date: 11/24/25 6:42 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 18
Thoughts?

Oil prices go up and down. Oxy will be a gusher of boring cash when prices are high, and just tick along when prices are low--even more boring. It's the nature of the beast. I think investors should be prepared for very long flat stretches, even if the long run average return is quite acceptable.

Jim
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Author: Blackswanny   😊 😞
Number: of 19827 
Subject: Re: Oxy
Date: 11/24/25 6:50 AM
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So Buffets investment thesis is more share buybacks and increased eps over the long term? "Own a bigger portion of the pie"

Do you think they will get multiple expansion on this strategy or that'll remain static?
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Author: hclasvegas   😊 😞
Number: of 19827 
Subject: Re: Oxy
Date: 11/24/25 7:57 AM
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“ So Buffets investment thesis is more share buybacks and increased eps over the long term? "Own a bigger portion of the pie". In Brkville it’s never acceptable to say, oxy was a terrible idea. Therefore, I won’t say it.
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Author: Blackswanny   😊 😞
Number: of 19827 
Subject: Re: Oxy
Date: 11/24/25 12:41 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 4
If oil averages c75$ BOE i think they'll get to 7-8$bn of FCF. Research suggests each 5$ increase in value adds $1bn to the bottom line.
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