Post New

Symbol: (daily)          .SPX         EQAL          IWM         IYT        XRT        KRE        IBB        SMH
As of (LastD)          17-May-24    17-May-24    17-May-24  17-May-24   17-May-24  17-May-24  17-May-24  17-May-24
Signal_Status*          Bullish      Bullish      Bullish     Bullish    Bullish    Bullish    Bullish    Bullish
SignalD_Change         09-Nov-23    20-Nov-23    20-Nov-23  20-Nov-23   24-Nov-23  07-May-24  15-May-24  09-Nov-23
SinceD_Change             190          179          179         179        175         10         2         190
Confirmed                 Yes          Yes          Yes       Not Yet      Yes      Not Yet    Not Yet      Yes
--                         --           --           --         --          --         --         --         --
Status_MAC(50)          Support      Support      Support   Resistance   Support    Support    Support    Support
ROC(50-DMA)              4.5%         2.8%         2.4%        1.2%       3.9%       -2.7%      -3.3%      13.6%
Status_MAC(200)         Support      Support      Support     Support    Support    Support    Support    Support
ROC(200-DMA)             16.1%        2.8%         4.6%       11.6%       6.8%       -9.4%      -1.4%      44.6%
DMAC(50,200)             8.9%         5.6%         6.4%        6.1%       9.5%       4.1%       3.0%       22.7%
--                         --           --           --         --          --         --         --         --
LastD_Price             5303.27       46.15        208.08     66.16       75.93      51.19      136.69     230.25
50-DMA                  5157.15       44.94        202.63     67.73       74.61      48.65      132.84     220.34
200-DMA                 4737.50       42.56        190.47     63.81       68.13      46.72      128.97     179.59
--                         --           --           --         --          --         --         --         --
# Signals /Yr              2            3            3          3           3          3          12         2
# BuyD /Yr                233          205          218         221        202         87        146        228
# NeutralD /Yr             0            0            0          0           0          0          0          0
# SellD /Yr                19           47           34         31          50        165        106         24
% BuyD /Yr                92%          81%          87%         88%        80%        35%        58%        90%
--                         --           --           --         --          --         --         --         --
52wL(Daily)             4115.24       37.43        162.21     52.80       56.84      38.57      112.41     129.34
52wH(Daily)             5308.15       46.19        210.30     70.61       78.99      53.82      140.89     234.17
% Off_52wH                 NH           NH           1%         7%          4%         5%         3%         2%
LastD_52wH             15-May-24    15-May-24    28-Mar-24  21-Mar-24   28-Mar-24  14-Dec-23  27-Feb-24  07-Mar-24
SinceD_52wH                2            2            50         57          50        155         80         71
      ---                 ---          ---          ---         ---        ---        ---        ---        ---

Modern Family:        Symbol:    Status:*     Confirmed:  Roles: (leading indicators that act as a guide for the stock market macro picture)
S&P 500 Index           .SPX      Bullish         Yes     - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW          EQAL      Bullish         Yes     - gauge the health of many Large-cap & Mid-cap companies within the U.S.
Russell 2000            IWM       Bullish         Yes     - gauge the health of many Small-cap & some Micro-cap companies within the U.S.
Transportation          IYT       Bullish       Not Yet   - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
Retail                  XRT       Bullish         Yes     - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
Regional Banks          KRE       Bullish       Not Yet   - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
BioTech                 IBB       Bullish       Not Yet   - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
SemiConductor           SMH       Bullish         Yes     - innovation: a major player technology trends
As of (LastD)           ---      17-May-24    17-May-24                                           ---

The "Economic Modern Family" (@MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for "Market Analysis".
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My "Modern Family" signals(2) are not strictly identical to the (@MarketGauge.com) "Phases Tutorial"(6).
Market Phases Rev 20-Apr-2024
- "BEARish" phase when Status_MAC(50) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(50-DMA) is Negative OR Status_MAC(200) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(200-DMA) is Negative.
- "Bullish" phase when NOT "BEARish"
- "Support" is the level(floor) at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
- "Resistance" is the level(ceiling) at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)
- "Confirmed" when MAC(50) AND ROC(50-DMA) both agree with "Signal Status" phase.
ROC(50-DMA) = 50*SLOPE(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507)/TREND(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507,$A$458) Where F is 50-DMA and A is Day# (ascending)
ROC(200-DMA) = 200*SLOPE(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507)/TREND(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507,$A$308) Where F is 200-DMA and A is Day# (ascending)
Criteria that Refute- Moving averages do well in trending markets but they generate many false signals in choppy, sideways markets.
Description- After a crossover is identified, it is considered "not yet confirmed". Then additional confirmation is sought by watching the slope of the moving average.
GD_

Post New

Mechanical Investing FAQ

---

Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.