Post #2643 by Knighted on the Berkshire Hathaway board

Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)

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My fave:
What's the "pretty darned sure" real EPS on average 5-10 years from now, what multiple do you expect at that time so what is the annualized rate of return that implies?

I admire the sensibleness and simplicity of this approach, but I struggle with developing a 5-10 year forward EPS estimate that I have confidence in.

I assume there is much more to it than simply extrapolating earnings data from the recent past, though that is likely an important starting point.

Would you be willing to share an example, or perhaps a case study, illustrating the data and considerations you take into account to arrive at a 5-10 year EPS estimate for a given company?

I suspect it would be incredibly informative/educational.

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