Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (1) |
Author: FlyingCircus ✧  😊 😞
Number: of 6243 
Subject: Market Indicators / GTAA update 11/29/23
Date: 11/30/23 12:35 AM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 13
Summary - obviously there was a fast bullish recovery bounce in the first week to two of November after... whatever the last week of October was. As a result, the US markets have swung to bullish with positive to mildly positive trends. The Naz NH/NL remains the only BC in bearish state, but barely - after bottoming out at -460 10/29, it’s risen all the way back to -25.

In the last 2 weeks, the asset classes of small caps, small cap growth, RE, Foreign RE, Total Bond and 10Y US Govts have flipped to bullish (on price) - for the first time in many months. Punditry says this is a bet that the Fed is done raising rates.

Note: small caps are lagging; they started a bounce in November but have only advanced about 1/2 as much as the large cap/cap weighted indexes.

Trend/”timing” signals
* BearCatchers: 1 of 3 bearish - Naz NH/NL
* Others: only Naz bullish % is still bearish, an indicator of a "thinner" market (megacap focused).

My overall dashboard went from -9 bearish to 5 bullish/optimistic in 3 short weeks.
Asset Class	Signal	Top6	Rank
US LC IN X 1
US LC Momentum IN X 2
US SC CHG 11
US SC Mom./Grth CHG 10
For. Developed IN X 4
For. Dev. SC CHG X 5
Emerging IN X 3
Real Estate IN 8
Foreign Real IN 9
Total Bond IN 11
10Y US Gov IN 14
Global HighYld IN X 6
Preferred IN X 6
Cash/ST 13
Last month's post: FlyingCircus writes on Market Indicators Update 10/27/23
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to FlyingCircus here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 6,227 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Dividend investing · 52 recs · 2025
Non-Mag7 screen · 34 recs · 2025
OT - Div yields and returns · 32 recs · 2024
Using AI to generate backtesting programs · 30 recs · 2025
Rankings for 19Dec2022 · 29 recs · 2022
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (1) |


Announcements
Mechanical Investing FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of MI | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community