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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: hclasvegas   😊 😞
Number: of 21107 
Subject: brk, spcx, on a 4 day week,
Date: 06/15/26 7:05 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 1
brk closed very strong on Friday but it looks like down 2 on the open. IF, this board had a betting site feature, brkb rising above 495 by Thursdays close might be a 4 to 1 shot. Getting to 500 would be maybe an 8-10 to 1 shot by option expiration Friday. I would take 4 to 1 on brk rising to 495, by this Thursday. Just a little fun in brkville.

On the financial channels this morning fund managers are talking about buying spcx. LEVERAGE funds, 2x long, 2x short, etc, lol, hopefully Buffett's health can handle all this.


Let's see if all the forced buying can get filled below 170-180ish, which puts the market cap at 2.5ish trillion or so. The market makers can start to position for the HUGE volume of stock freeing up the next 90 days. Day one went very smoothly relative to the size of the offering, well done.
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Author: hclasvegas   😊 😞
Number: of 21107 
Subject: Re: brk, spcx, on a 4 day week,
Date: 06/15/26 7:29 AM
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" What’s Next: SpaceX stock is also going into the Nasdaq 100 in a few days. That will create an estimated $7 billion to $10 billion of passive buying by funds tracking the tech-heavy index. Nasdaq is adjusting the position size by float, or the shares available for trading.


—Al Root"


kalshi betting odds on projected federal debt level by 2028. Keep in mind these debt projections are with conservative republicans controlling all three branches. Good luck dollar long term.

All Outcomes
Leading
$40 trillion
$44,720 vol
98.0%
Buy
$45 trillion
$8,111 vol
-0.01% 24h
80.0%
Buy
$50 trillion
$20,665 vol
34.0%
Buy
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Author: hclasvegas   😊 😞
Number: of 21107 
Subject: Re: brk, spcx, on a 4 day week,
Date: 06/15/26 8:57 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 1
Ron Baron just did this on cnbc. Ron got 1 billion of the spcx IPO and has over 25 billion invested with Musk. I'm not a lawyer but I spent many hours reading the regs to protect myself. Both my SEC lawyers eventually got 48 months, and my corporate genius lawyer served even more than 48 months. If, IF, I was friends with Ron I would love to chat with him about the, quite period, which I always respected.

https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/06/15/ron-baron-on...



"" SEC Quiet Period — Definition, Rules, and Compliance
The quiet period is a federally mandated timeframe under U.S. securities law that restricts certain communications by companies, underwriters, and insiders during a securities offering — especially an initial public offering (IPO) or before earnings announcements — to prevent selective disclosure and maintain market fairness Investor.gov+1.

Legal Basis
The quiet period is rooted in the Securities Act of 1933, particularly Section 5(c), which prohibits offering to sell securities unless a registration statement has been filed with the SEC marc.deschenaux.com. The SEC interprets “offer” broadly to include any communication that could generate public interest in the securities, even if not explicitly promotional Investor.gov.

Key Stages and Duration
Pre-filing quiet period: Begins when a company decides to go public and ends when it files its registration statement (Form S‑1). No “gun‑jumping” (conditioning the market) is allowed marc.deschenaux.com.

Post-filing quiet period: Runs from filing to the SEC declaring the registration statement “effective” (often 10–40 days, depending on the offering) Investor.gov+1.

Earnings quiet period: For public companies, the four weeks before a quarter ends is also a quiet period to prevent selective disclosure Investopedia.

What’s Prohibited
During the quiet period, companies must avoid:

Public statements, forecasts, or opinions about the company’s value or prospects

Promotional activities or roadshows that could condition the market

Any communication that could be construed as soliciting or offering to sell the securities Aaron Hall, Attorney for Business Owners+1
Exceptions
The SEC allows limited disclosures to avoid unduly restricting information flow:

Rule 135: Permits general factual announcements about an upcoming offering, without promoting the securities marc.deschenaux.com.

Ordinary business communications (e.g., press releases, product updates) that do not reference the offering marc.deschenaux.com.

Emerging Growth Companies (EGCs) under the JOBS Act have some reduced restrictions Investopedia.

Consequences of Violation
Violations can result in:

Regulatory enforcement actions (fines, injunctions)

Delays or denials of the registration statement

Reputational damage and increased scrutiny Aaron Hall, Attorney for Business Owners+1
Purpose
The quiet period ensures:

All investors receive the same, vetted information at the same time

No unfair advantage from selective disclosure

Market integrity and fair access to information Aaron Hall, Attorney for Business Owners+1

In short: The SEC quiet period is a “cone of silence” before and after major offerings, designed to prevent market manipulation and protect investors. Companies must carefully control communications to avoid “gun‑jumping” and comply with both the pre-filing and post-filing restrictions.""
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Author: hclasvegas   😊 😞
Number: of 21107 
Subject: Re: brk, spcx, on a 4 day week,
Date: 06/15/26 6:58 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 1
The volume in brkb was very strong again today, it's hard to say if Greg is an aggressive buyer below 500 or if other buyers have emerged. brkb up 1.3 % today and the As had strong volume as well. We find out on august 15th or so if brk is the buyer.


Obviously, my bet that we see 495 plus by Thursday was easy, brkb testing 500 by Friday is now a 50-50 shot.


It looks like the forced index buying in spcx will happen at a valuation of about 2.7 to three trillion. Hopefully Greg and team brk will find better more conservative value going forward than Nasdaq 100 index type funds.




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