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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: ajm101 ✭  😊 😞
Number: of 22354 
Subject: Re: Some Thoughts - Maybe Too Many
Date: 09/21/24 10:43 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 9
What would you suggest instead? We are talking about over $100B.

(I've already suggested buying all of Chubb, ~$50B, and the rest of Occidental, ~$50B.)


I believe BRK had close to that amount at the beginning of the year excluding short term investments required for outlier insurance reserve scenarios. I have heard a $30-40B number for reserves, and I've read Bloomstran talk about BRK really needing twice that figure. BRK had $164B cash + treasuries EOY 2023.

And given the chance to invest approximately $80B they put $7B into CB, and have increased cash + ST investments by 65% since then (by 125%, if you treat $80B as reserves). I had BNI shares when BRK acquired BNSF, so I know they can move deliberately, but in the context of the funds available it feels conservative. I don't trust my understanding of how BRK approaches large acquisitions enought to judge this well, honestly.

They have a great balance sheet, so they could take on debt to fund acquisitions, also, like they did with BNSF, without being forced to reduce equity exposure and pay capital gains. *If* they were bullish on equities.

I do think OXY and CB are both interesting and smart ideas. I have a little trouble reconciling acquiring OXY right now with trimming the CVX position, but they are very different E&P companies.

I can't suggest anything else, because I also don't know what to buy right now. Everything feels substantially overvalued and overleveraged. Yields are dropping, I am not constructive on crypto, gold is problematic and has rallied, and various systemic risk levels are high. I already don't feel good about the market, so I notice it when a company I've admired for years builds a large cash pile in a hurry, and at some expense.
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This community has written 21,861 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 58 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 55 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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