Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of BRK.ABest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of BRK.ABest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (13) |
Author: rrr12345 ⎊  😊 😞
Number: of 22351 
Subject: IV and growth estimates
Date: 05/03/26 9:04 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 1
I'm looking forward to seeing your updated IV and growth estimates. Tilson's latest estimate, from March, is $801K/A-share. Morningstar's estimate, from Oct 31, is $765K/A-share. With BV and IV growing 10.5%/year since Dec 1998, I expect Morningstar's updated estimate as of today to be about $805K/A-share. My own estimate, FWIW, is $790K/A-share, which corresponds to 1.55x BV, although I would not argue with 1.45x BV or 1.65x BV.

I'd be especially interested in seeing your estimate for BHE. Morningstar estimates BHE to be worth $59,600/A-share, or $85.7B. This figure is closer to the $87B valuation implied by the amount paid for Greg Abel's shares in 2022 than it is to the $49B valuation implied by the amount paid for shares owned by Walter Scott's estate in 2024.

As to growth, my best guess would be the 10.5%/year history of the last 27 years, although when I'm planning how long my retirement savings will last, I lop about 2-3 percentage points per year off that figure.

Best to all,
rrr12345

Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to rrr12345 here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 21,861 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 58 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 55 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (13) |


Announcements
Berkshire Hathaway FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of BRK.A | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community