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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: rrr12345 ⎊  😊 😞
Number: of 22347 
Subject: Re: Berkshire Valuation v Fairfax Financial
Date: 08/30/23 7:40 PM
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Thanks for sharing, EV. Just one comment: You are correct to value the cash, T-Bills and fixed maturity assets at face value, including the $30B in cash held in reserve. These assets are worth the interest stream to be received, plus terminal value, discounted at a discount rate equal to the total annualized return. That comes out to today's ptice. For example, a $100, two-year note currently priced at $100 and paying 4.9% interest will pay an interest stream of 4.9% per year, with a terminal value of $100. When discounted at the total annualized return of 4.9%, the present value will come out to $100.

Same thing for equity securities. These assets are worth the dividend stream to be received, plus terminal value, discounted at a discount rate equal to the total annualized return, say 7%. If the market has valued the equities correctly, then the discounted present value comes out to market value. If the market has overvalued one of the equity securities, then a case can be made for applying a haircut to that security, but bearing in mind that these securities are available for sale at today's price. I am hopeful that Berkshire's equity portfolio will return more than 7%, but whatever the future return turns out to be, applying a discount rate equal to the annualized total return to the dividends and terminal value will bring the present value back to today's price.
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This community has written 21,850 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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