Please be patient and understanding when interacting with others, and avoid getting frustrated or upset if someone does not respond to your posts or if a discussion does not go as you expected. Remember that everyone is entitled to express their own perspectives. Furthermore, even when you don't entirely agree, try to benefit in some way from it.
- Manlobbi
Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
No. of Recommendations: 2
2024 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION ODDS & BETTING
US Presidential Election Futures | Winner
Donald Trump
Oddschecker logo
-110
Joe Biden
Oddschecker logo
+166
Robert Kennedy Jr.
Oddschecker logo
+4300
Michelle Obama
Oddschecker logo
+4700””. For those who don’t understand betting lines. You have to bet 110 to win 100 on trump. If you bet Biden you bet 100 to win 166$$. Listen to Carville and friends, it isn’t working. 🍿☮️ anything but a guilty verdict in New York, empowers Trump supporters, and might give him another 1-2 percent edge.
No. of Recommendations: 12
hclasvegas: 2024 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION ODDS & BETTING
Odds in May on a November presidential vote outcome are as predictive as the odds of the World Series champs on opening day.
Perhaps more relevant, I see the odds on whether or not the first presidential debate will be postponed or canceled have "no" as a -500 favorite, while yes is a 3-1 underdog. Dementia Don was scared to death to debate in the republican primaries where his opponents could talk about his crimes and it seems even more likely he'll want to avoid a debate stage over which he has no control, no audience, and the threat of having his microphone muted.
In front of a rally crowd that adores him, Dementia Don cannot sustain a logical conversation for ninety minutes without going off into odd tangents, stumbling incoherently over words, and standing in silence when his teleprompter malfunctions (which has happened during his last two rallies, prompting him to threaten not to pay the vendors).
Will his malignant narcissism allow his opponent to call out his nonsensical statements ("What kind of a person embraces the idea of a 'Unified Reich'?" or "One day he wants to ban contraception and the next day he forgets what he said and claims he'll protect contraception. How can you trust a man like that?") and embarrass him in front of a national audience or will he make an excuse to back out ("CNN is fake news" or "George Stephanopoulos hates me and I don't trust ABC")?
Dementia Don has already floated the idea of insisting on a drug test for Biden. I think Biden should agree as long as Dementia Don agrees to get on a scale in public or releases a decade of his tax returns.
No. of Recommendations: 2
for those that dont understand statistics, event gambling could theoretically be better predictor than polls with sufficient sample size and randomization. so its probably a few 10s of millions shy (of any value) of random eligible voters convinced to become participating bettors.
and the structure of sports/event betting is for the PLATFORM to make a profit, so odds are adjusted as needed.
there are other corrections needed as well...
e.g., no need to attend nor watch the game for sports betting, as it doesn't impact the outcome.
but voting requires some effort even if you already made an election bet.
