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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: mapg   😊 😞
Number: of 3962 
Subject: Modern Family Sep-2024
Date: 09/27/2024 4:53 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 5
Name                     SP500       R1000EW     R1000      R2000    Transportation    Retail   Regional Bank    BioTech   SemiConductor
Symbol: (daily) SPY
EQAL IWB IWM IYT XRT KRE IBB SMH
As of (LastD) 27-Sep-24 27-Sep-24 27-Sep-24 27-Sep-24 27-Sep-24 27-Sep-24 27-Sep-24 27-Sep-24 27-Sep-24
Signal_Status* Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish
Signal_ChgD 09-Nov-23 20-Nov-23 16-Nov-23 12-Jul-24 21-Aug-24 19-Sep-24 07-May-24 15-May-24 27-Sep-24
Since_ChgD 323 312 316 77 37 8 143 135 0
Confirmed Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Not Yet Yes Not Yet Not Yet
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Status_MAC(50) Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Resistance Support
ROC(50-DMA) 2.1% 3.5% 2.3% 5.0% 1.9% -0.5% 14.6% 6.3% -7.9%
Status_MAC(200) Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support
ROC(200-DMA) 21.1% 9.8% 21.0% 12.6% 11.2% 19.6% 16.4% 8.1% 60.4%
DMAC(50,200) 5.8% 3.7% 5.6% 5.0% -0.7% 1.8% 9.5% 5.6% 6.0%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
LastD_Price 571.47 48.66 313.24 220.33 68.72 77.85 55.92 144.90 247.74
50-DMA 551.77 46.69 302.34 215.11 65.90 75.51 55.77 145.62 236.39
200-DMA 521.49 45.03 286.33 204.80 66.34 74.21 50.93 137.90 223.03
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
# Signals /Yr 2 2 2 4 6 4 3 3 4
# BuyD /Yr 233 222 229 206 178 215 178 178 217
# NeutralD /Yr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
# SellD /Yr 19 30 23 46 74 37 74 74 35
% BuyD /Yr 92% 88% 91% 82% 71% 85% 71% 71% 86%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
52wL(Daily) 410.68 37.43 225.16 162.21 52.80 57.91 38.57 112.41 137.46
52wH(Daily) 572.30 48.66 314.14 224.60 70.61 79.13 59.23 149.47 281.27
% Off_52wH NH NH NH 2% 3% 2% 6% 3% 14%
LastD_52wH 26-Sep-24 27-Sep-24 24-Sep-24 16-Jul-24 21-Mar-24 16-Jul-24 26-Jul-24 19-Sep-24 10-Jul-24
SinceD_52wH 1 0 3 73 190 73 63 8 79
CountD_52wH 53 23 53 14 11 10 6 10 42
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---

The "Economic Modern Family" is a combination of three market index ETF's and five varying sectors & groups for "Market Analysis".
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My "Modern Family" signals(2) are not strictly identical to the (MarketGauge.com) "Phases Tutorial"(6).
Market Phases Rev 27-Sep-2024
"BEARish" - phase when Status_MAC(50) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(50-DMA) is Negative OR Status_MAC(200) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(200-DMA) is Negative.
"Bullish" - phase when NOT "BEARish"
"Support" - is the level(floor) at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
"Resistance" - is the level(ceiling) at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)
"Confirmed" - when Status_MAC(50) AND ROC(50-DMA) both agree with "Signal_Status" phase.
ROC(50-DMA) = - 50*SLOPE(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507)/TREND(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507,$A$458) Where F is 50-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending)
ROC(200-DMA) = - 200*SLOPE(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507)/TREND(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507,$A$308) Where F is 200-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending)
Criteria that Refute - Moving averages do well in trending markets but they generate many false signals in choppy, sideways markets.
Description - After a crossover is identified, it is considered "not yet confirmed". Then additional confirmation is sought by watching the slope of the moving average.
Source of Data - Price data for Symbols in Modern Family are exported from real time charts to .CSV files after market close.
CountD_52wH - FYI: SPX, MDY, & IJH 10 year average count of 52wH/Yr was 34, 20 & 16 as of 27-Sep-2024.
--- ---
ARCHIVE
More Details: Posted end of month by mapg on the Mechanical Investing board (shrewdm.com)
Modern Family AUG-2024 https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=113958611
Modern Family JUL-2024 https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=626153285
Modern Family JUN-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=716545054
Modern Family MAY-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=527927256
Modern Family APR-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=901366147
Modern Family MAR-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=100513411
Modern Family FEB-2024. https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=618324647
Modern Family JAN-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=157834189
Modern Family DEC-2023, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=993308542

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