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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Personal Finance / Macroeconomic Trends & Risks
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Author: WendyBG ✶x2☼  😊 😞
Number: of 4582 
Subject: Overmatched: the U.S. military
Date: 12/08/25 10:27 AM
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A world war would ruin everyone’s Macroeconomic day. Especially because the U.S. would lose.

nytimes.com - US china taiwan military


OVERMATCHED
Why the U.S. Military Needs to Reinvent Itself

By The Editorial Board, The New York Times, 12/8/2025

President Xi Jinping of China has ordered his armed forces to be ready to seize Taiwan by 2027. Though the United States maintains a policy of strategic ambiguity on how it would respond to an invasion, Republican and Democratic presidents alike have said that America would defend the island nation. The Pentagon has produced a classified, multiyear assessment that shows how such a conflict would play out: the Overmatch brief….

Pete Hegseth, the secretary of defense, said last November that in the Pentagon’s war games against China, “we lose every time.” When a senior Biden national security official received the Overmatch brief in 2021, he turned pale as he realized that “every trick we had up our sleeve, the Chinese had redundancy after redundancy,” according to one official who was present.

The assessment shows something more worrying than the potential outcome of a war over Taiwan. It shows the Pentagon’s overreliance on expensive, vulnerable weapons as adversaries field cheap, technologically advanced ones….

China has installed malware in the computer networks that control power grids, communications systems and water supplies for American military bases. The advanced cyber campaign, carried out by the state-sponsored hacking group known as Volt Typhoon, threatens the military’s ability to move weapons and forces in the event of a crisis in the Pacific, and could affect civilians as well. America’s cybersecurity officials have struggled to find and remove the malware….
[end quote]

This is a long article which shows how the U.S. military needs a paradigm shift to the modern world as well as rebuilding manufacturing of our traditional weapons such as Patriot missiles which we have given to Ukraine and Israel for defense.

The stability of the world depends upon U.S. military deterrence. Even if the U.S. military, defense contractors and Congress members with military manufacturing in their districts weren’t resistant to change there is no way that the U.S. could be ready to deter China from attacking Taiwan by 2027.

That’s a pretty short deadline.

Wendy
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