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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: Banksy ✸✺🐝 HONORARY
SHREWD
  😊 😞

Number: of 22353 
Subject: Re: Borrowing to Buy
Date: 08/11/26 8:10 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 11
I don't think we will see P/B < 1.25 unless there is an overall recession/ broader stock market decline.

We'll see one soon enough, recessions and broad stock market declines are a normal, built-in part of how capitalism works...
A market crash is capitalism’s way of kicking out the people who filled their pockets with shrimp at the open bar.

US stocks have dipped into bear territory about every 6 years on average over the past 150 years.
Since World War II, the US has experienced a recession roughly once every 6 years.

And...
The Buffett Indicator is sitting at the highest level ever, over 240% = Strongly Overvalued
The S&P500 dividend yield is sitting at the lowest level ever, 1.04%
The Sahm Rule Recession Indicator has triggered
The Yield Curve has un-inverted. Historically, the inversion is the warning, but the un-inversion is the actual tripwire.

We'll see, stay frosty my friends!

https://buffettindicator.org

fidelity.com - Bear market

kiplinger.com - Recessions facts you must know
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Members reply directly to Banksy here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 21,861 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 58 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 55 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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