Avoid making negative or unhelpful posts, and instead focus on providing constructive feedback and ideas that can help to move the discussion forward.
- Manlobbi
Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
No. of Recommendations: 2
It's too early to really predict anything, but early indications are yellow flags for deomocrats.
First, they're only up a tepid +2.8 in the polls (by RCP). They need to be at least +5 to meaningfully grab seats. At this rate according to CNN's Harry Enten...they're actually on track to lose some ground:
ENTEN (on-camera): What happens when you go race by race? Well, it's the same idea. OK, House seat ratings with a GOP president like back in 2005 and, of course, 2017. More net pick-up seat chances. Well, last time around, look at that. Democrats were ahead by 33 seats. How about in 2005? Democrats were ahead by seven seats. What's going on right now? It's actually Republicans.
Actually, Republicans with more net pick-up chances at plus 12, according to the Cook Political Report, when you add in the likelihoods, the liens, and the toss-up races. So, it's not just on the generic ballot where Democrats are behind their 2017 and 2005 pace. It's actually when it comes seat by seat, you see that at least at this particular point, Republicans actually have more net pick-up opportunities. This doesn't look anything like those wave elections back in 2006 or 2018.https://x.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1945492536836...Woof.
Things also need to change for them in some states. DeSantis just knocked out their challenge to Florida's redistricting from a few years ago, so there's not a lot of chances to upend the 20-8 lead the GOP has in Florida reps. And now Texas is looking to redraw its map...and that could lead to 5 more seats for the Republicans.
No. of Recommendations: 5
Dope: I know you will always root for Trump and against the Democratic Party, but at this point...WHY?
Surely you understand what a disaster Trump is. What a lying, criminal, anti-democratic POS he is? How he is damaging our Republic in so many ways.
It would be refreshing if you'd just come out and admit that you really don't like democracy and prefer an authoritarian regime.
No. of Recommendations: 2
Surely you understand what a disaster Trump is. What a lying, criminal, anti-democratic POS he is? How he is damaging our Republic in so many ways.
I suspect he does. But many people (including him, from what I read) think that any Dem is worse.
I can't really relate to that. I would say that most Reps are better than the Felon, and almost all Dems are better, also (with the exception of the corrupt ones like Menendez). Or put more simply, name a US politician, and (s)he would probably be better than the Felon. I think you would have to try hard to find one that isn't.
No. of Recommendations: 1
If Sheeple keeps doing "Epstein!" or the latest Sheeple thing - -- when the Affordable Care Act premium bumps come -- who knows - maybe they'll give it to Republicans again.
This is such gold for the Left.
I heard from a slightly higher than schmuk level congressional staffer that some repubs are scared shitless about it and are toying with extending the Biden subsidies. Who knows.
Trumpy is smart though - the $1000 Trump baby money comes out before election. Medicaid shit not so early.
ACA is where the Dems can crush this.
If - they want to.
