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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: mungofitch ✹✺🐝 SILVER
SHREWD
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Number: of 22352 
Subject: meaningless predictions
Date: 01/06/24 10:15 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 23
I like playing with numbers. We all have vices.

Apple's earnings per share and valuation multiples seem to have a gentle cycle. The earnings peak, then the P/E troughs, then the earnings pick up, then the multiples peak, then the price peaks, then it all starts over again.
Eyeballing the pattern from the last three cycles, a wild speculation: peak P/E based on trailing earnings might peak around May and, with an upswing in EPS underway, absolute price might peak around year end.
Place no weight on this forecast, it's just for fun.

One year price forecasts are a silly game, but here goes: Berkshire B shares might end the year in the vicinity of $390.
I spent a few minutes estimating that just to get a handle of which covered calls might be a particularly dumb idea.
I hope to be pleasantly surprised, but that's my number of the day.

Jim
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This community has written 21,861 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 58 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 55 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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