Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of BRK.A | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Post of the Week!
Search BRK.A
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Best Of BRK.A | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Post of the Week!
Search BRK.A


Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (7) |
Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝🐝 SILVER
SHREWD
  😊 😞

Number: of 15053 
Subject: Re: Book vs. Peak Book as Measure of Value
Date: 12/20/2022 8:27 AM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 33
Could someone explain to me if peak book is a superior measure of value for Berkshire and if so why. I seem to recall various posts from Jim on this but can't recall the details.


'superior' is a pretty loaded word.
I find it more useful.

Two reasons.
First, a dip in book is almost certainly not a dip in the actual value of a share.
Price squiggles on the listed securities are generally transient. True value per share rises over time, it's only the proxy metrics that dip sometimes.
Besides, lower market prices tend to make improved periods for allocating capital.
For example, I think there is essentially no chance that a share of Berkshire is worth less than it was six months ago.

The other reason is that, empirically, the price-to-peak-book number has been a better predictor of average forward returns than price-to-current-book has.
Presumably because of reason #1.

In fact, buying whenever book per share has fallen a lot would probably not that bad a rule!
That's one I haven't tried.

Jim
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (7) |


Announcements
Berkshire Hathaway FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of BRK.A | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds