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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: zeelotes ✸  😊 😞
Number: of 3957 
Subject: Re: What constitutes success?
Date: 04/15/2024 2:44 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 8
One further chart to illustrate how consensus scores work. I'll be showing the 2007-2009 once again. The cross from a high bullish score to bearish score occurs at ten. The date was 7/23/2007.

Bullish rose above bearish at ten on 3/2/2009.

https://www.zeelotes.org/Training/LT_Combined_Scor...

What would this look like if one acted on this?

              Close     Close     ROI     ROI   Cum ROI  Cum ROI
   Date        NDX       RUT      NDX     RUT                   
1/1/2007    $1,756.90  $787.66                                  
7/23/2007   $2,036.33  $835.62  15.90%   6.09%   15.90%    6.09%
3/2/2009    $1,076.67  $367.80  47.13%  55.98%   70.53%   65.48%
12/31/2009  $1,860.31  $625.39  72.78%  70.04%  194.64%  181.38%


My point is simple: It pays to study the markets because although they do not repeat, they often rhyme. There is truly nothing new under the sun. Historical precedent has a lot to say that can be helpful in avoiding major market drawdowns.
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