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Author: tecmo   😊 😞
Number: of 31 
Subject: Earnings & Valuation
Date: 04/30/2025 5:57 PM
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https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/30/microsoft-msft-q3-...

            Actual     Estimate      Model
EPS $3.46 $ 3.22 $ 3.29
Revenue(B) $70.07 $68.42 $70.55

Valuation, model was looking at 11x on Revenue and 31x on earnings, or a range of $400-$420, the stock closed at $395 but was up over $415 after the announcement.

Looking forward roughly 12 months we might expect a stock in the $450-$465 range if history is any guide. (note: The floor price might be considered roughly 20% below that $450 level or $360 per share).

tecmo
...

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Author: tecmo   😊 😞
Number: of 31 
Subject: Re: Earnings & Valuation
Date: 05/13/2025 11:16 AM
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Looking forward roughly 12 months we might expect a stock in the $450-$465 range if history is any guide

That was quick, trading at $450 now...
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Author: tecmo   😊 😞
Number: of 48450 
Subject: Re: Earnings & Valuation
Date: 06/05/2025 1:55 PM
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Looking forward roughly 12 months we might expect a stock in the $450-$465 range if history is any guide


Trading above $467 now, which is an ATH... I wouldn't expect big returns from here in the next 12 months...

tecmo
...
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