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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: Lear ✧  😊 😞
Number: of 22353 
Subject: Re: Calls: end of an era?
Date: 10/28/23 12:50 AM
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Jim: You might end up borrowing at a real 5.5% to see a value increase of a real 6.0%. Not great math.

I'd be interested to hear if you'd still make / are still making this trade, all else being equal, and/or how you'd think about the decision when the math is this close.

I can see how the risk/reward of an effectively permanent leveraged position in BRK has changed rather substantially, but if your (conservative) estimate of BRK's real growth rate is 6%, a +0.5% return every year is still a non-negligible boost to returns. The risk and reward also seem to cut equally both ways, assuming that a deep enough in the money call option won't expire worthless. So to me it still seems clear that the leverage is preferable.

I tend to trade in and out of my leverage (so I'd be waiting for the expected return to increase before I add leverage, and I'd drop it when the short terms prospects don't look as rosy), perhaps to my detriment, but I've begun to come around to the idea of holding a permanent or quasi-permanent leveraged position, if the cost of borrowing were to allow it. So I'm curious how you handle these close situations.






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This community has written 21,861 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 58 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 55 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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