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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: rayvt ✧☼🐝🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 6243 
Subject: Examining some momentum strategies
Date: 09/10/26 9:59 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 8
Examining some momentum strategies published by algo-catalog.com: Backtested Trading Strategies with Source Code

Most of his strategies that I have looked at cannot, unfortunately, be backtested on GTR1.

Part 1 of 3
Nasdaq-100 Sortino Momentum
algo-catalog.com - Ndx sortino momentum
Claimed backtest:
2020-01-01 to present -- CAGR: 24.8% Max DD: -29%
1990-01-02 to 2026-06-25 CAGR: 22.9% Max DD: -55%

FYI:
2020-01-02 - 2026-06-25
QQQ CAGR 21.05%
SPY CAGR 14.96%
1990-01-02 - 2026-06-23
QQQSIM CAGR 12.62%
SPY CAGR 10.15%

This combines high momentum and low recent downside volatility.
There are two issues I have seen.
1) Very low priced stocks. There is a reason why a stock is or has been under $10. I omit these. But it is probably not an issue because these are likely not in the top 10.
2) Stocks that suddenly shot up recently.
A number of these stocks jumped up because they are a target of a buyout or takeover. The upside is capped at the buyout price, which is where the price jumped to. So there is no further upside. I don't know of a simple mechanical way to omit these and only these.
3) He does timing with the 200 day SMA of SPY. I do timing differently.

Traded monthly
Steps:
Universe: Nasdaq 100
For each stock:
Compute MOM: 1 year relative strength (current price / year ago price -1)
Compute VOL: the Sortino ratio of the last 63 days. (Standard deviation of the daily downside deviation.)
Rank the stocks by (MOM / VOL)
Invest in the top 10 stocks.

As of 9/5/2026 these are the top 20 stocks:
1 SNDK
2 GSAT <<-- this has the #2 issue. Being bought out by Amazon.
3 RVMD
4 MU
5 WBD
6 LITE
7 VLO
8 ROIV
9 MRNA
10 ARWR
11 ATI
12 DELL
13 WDC
14 GH
15 MSGS
16 MPC
17 INTC
18 ALM
19 CNC
20 RPRX
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This community has written 6,224 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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