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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Author: mungofitch ✹✺🐝 SILVER
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Number: of 359 
Subject: Re: OT, out
Date: 03/17/25 2:05 PM
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I presume currency risk is a large factor in your decision? That is particularly interesting to me, as I also do not reside in the "home of capitalism".

No, not at all.
Currencies are notoriously unpredictable, but if I had to guess I rather expect the US dollar to be strong (or stronger) for a while. That's one of the "normally expected" effects of tariffs. Maybe weaker later if the financial/economic situation deteriorates, but the future is an unknown place.

No, I'm out of the US dollar for the same reason I don't own any roubles or renminbi: I just prefer not to given that the US is now, to put it bluntly, one of the bad guys on the world stage. A faint secondary factor would be counterparty risk due to jurisdiction risk on T-bills or cash deposits at US brokers in that some change might mean I don't get my money back. I don't expect that would be a problem with the currency itself, but rather one's access to it. Nobody wants "cash" that's only good till you reach for it. I conclude that T-bills, for non-US-persons, no longer reliably meet that test.

Jim
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This community has written 356 posts about Living Abroad. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Welcome! · 12 recs · 2024
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