Here is the max pain scenario of 99D/DBE extant, and why it cannot be used reliably by itself to preserve capital.

Both of the FRED data series are up YOY, thus disconfirming recession.
Latest data published on 4/16/2025
Next Release Date: May 15, 2025

Advance Real Retail and Food Services Sales (RRSFS)
and
Industrial Production: Total Index (INDPRO)

Grit teeth and carry on.

This may be an opportunity to do some tax loss harvesting. Pretty easy to do while essentially still keeping your position. SPY/VOO to VTI, then back in 30+ days. Etc.
Actually, pretty much any market index ETF to any other, since the same dozen stocks are the largest holding in just about every broad index.



Not to get all political, but reading a few of the message boards here, people who are normally calm, cool, and rational are tearing their hair out coming up with reasons that "this time it is different!!!"

"There is now an irrational idiot in the White House!"
Yes, for the 47'th time since the USA was born. Hah!

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