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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: mungofitch ✹✺ SILVER
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Number: of 6243 
Subject: Re: Mungo MI - is it working?
Date: 06/06/24 4:23 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 6
As for using an equal weight S&P index as your benchmark, that gives you an artificial advantage at present. The mega caps are significantly out running the equal weight index and have been doing so for some time, and it sounds like you're over weighted in the mega caps.

Mmm, maybe.

The stock prices of the very largest firms are doing very well lately, it's true, but on the other hand most of them are pretty profitable as well. There is apparent overvaluation ("prepaying for a bright future") in places for sure, but it's not particularly wild relative to the rest of the market.

In any case I'm not concentrated in super-giga-caps, the top 10 where the exuberant action (and cap weight index) has been. My holding's median market cap is about $40bn, and only 6% of the portfolio is in stocks over $300bn. Neither figure is much different from the S&P 500 list of stocks (and wildly smaller than the cap-weight index). That's why I figure the S&P equal weight is a reasonable benchmark.

Jim
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This community has written 6,227 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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