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Author: albaby1 🐝 HONORARY
SHREWD
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Number: of 48503 
Subject: Bad News for Democrats
Date: 02/15/2024 11:41 AM
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Or more specifically, bad news for Biden. Gas prices have been rising sharply lately, reversing earlier drops. It's now back up to about $3.30 per gallon nationally:

https://www.gasbuddy.com/charts

Democrats' greatest vulnerability on the economy continues to be the rise in prices and interest rates. Regardless of whether the rate of inflation has moderated, prices are still significantly higher than they were 18-24 months ago. Gas prices and the cost of anything that requires financing (including obviously housing and cars) are much higher than during the Trump administration. That's going to keep people unhappy/uncertain about the economy, regardless of what's happening with unemployment.

Gas prices were consistently under $3 per gallon throughout the Trump Administration. It's not great for Biden when they get significantly above $3, and that will not be great for Democrats down-ballot either.
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Author: WatchingTheHerd HONORARY
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Number: of 48503 
Subject: Re: Bad News for Democrats
Date: 02/15/2024 5:34 PM
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It doesn't help when the largest refinery in the midwest shuts down due to a power failure.

BP operates a refinery in Whiting, Indiana that can process about 435,000 barrels per day. On February 1, some sort of electrical issue triggered a shutdown of the entire plant and production has remained down since.

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/bp-whiting...

It appears two transformers at the plant failed, triggering a cascading shutdown. Since the shutdown was not planned / controlled, BP estimates it will take at least three weeks to review the status of the entire plant and determine if any euipment was damaged. If issues are found, it will obviously take MORE than three weeks to resume production. Given that NO oil company has BUILT a new refinery since the 1970s, it seems unlikely that TWO transformers would fail in a way that would be "graceful" and not require their replacement. It seems LESS likely that the type of transformer required for power at a giant refinery would be something sitting around in inventory somewhere, able to be swapped out for new in a week or two.

While curtailing SUPPLY of gas in the short term, spiking retail prices, the shutdown is also reducing DEMAND for crude from pipelines, especially giant tanker farms in Cushing, OK triggering different dynamics in those markets.


WTH
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