Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (29) |
Author: musselmant ✧☼  😊 😞
Number: of 6243 
Subject: Re: Statistics for Nasdaq 100 monthly Momentum Screen
Date: 05/14/26 9:56 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 5
I suspect as you found, that any time rule you come up with will whipsaw you in some (even long) periods, and others delay too late in other (also even long, or perhaps just randomly useful) periods.

I have long been suspicious of the timing discussions on this board for that reason. How to really prove statistical "truths"? If you miss one crash you feel victorious but is the timing rule really valid if you do?

I don't know.

Almost no one has the stomach to keep going after horrible crashes and multi-year recovery periods.

But I remember what it was like to practice law, so have despite the pain, since it beats going to work.

Will timing help?

If only I could go back to high school and ask Mary Lou out....
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to musselmant here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 6,227 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Dividend investing · 52 recs · 2025
Non-Mag7 screen · 34 recs · 2025
OT - Div yields and returns · 32 recs · 2024
Using AI to generate backtesting programs · 30 recs · 2025
Rankings for 19Dec2022 · 29 recs · 2022
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (29) |


Announcements
Mechanical Investing FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of MI | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community