Subject: Re: Let’s See If This Pans Out for Putin
We mean that the conflict hasn't reached the point where insurgency is the significant vector for inflicting military losses on Russia, because Russia has utterly failed to eliminate the Ukrainian regular army. There's potential partisans behind Russian lines, and no doubt there's some "resistance" in the areas that are being occupied - but that stuff is trivial compared to the losses that Russia continually suffers from Ukraine's regular forces.

And so far…Russia has been able to replace their equipment and keep feeding in men.
And every day they’re there, the Ukraine isn’t a whole country.

The rest of your post (and virtually everything you’ve said in this thread) hinges on the Ukrainians being able to survive a long, grinding war of attrition.